81 dead, 2744 infected. New coronavirus infects faster than SARS

The number of victims of an outbreak of a new coronavirus in China has reached 81 people. And the total number of cases with the detected virus increased to 2744 people. About this writes Reuters . If we compare the growth dynamics of those infected with an outbreak of coronavirus in 2003 (SARS), we can see: the virus infects faster, the number of victims is slightly less.

On April 8, 2003, the number of SARS infected with the virus, according to the WHO, was 2671, and the deaths reached 103. However, earlier, on March 18, 2003, it was a question of 219 infections and 4 deaths.

Looking for similar numbers in the current outbreak, we find that 198 confirmed cases of infection and 3 deaths were recorded on January 19. A little more than a week has passed since then, and the epidemic indicators have become equal to those of the development of SARS in 21 days. Of course, this fact can be explained by improved approaches to the diagnosis of infection.

But the dynamics still leave room for concern. It is reported that the incubation period before the onset of symptoms can be from one to 14 days. In this case, unlike the outbreak of SARS, the virus remains contagious during the incubation period.

This year’s outbreak may become larger than SARS. Although not spread significantly beyond China.

  • Most of the dead due to the new coronavirus are residents of the Hubei province, whose capital is Wuhan. Five more people are residents of other Chinese regions. Confirmed infections have been reported in 10 countries.
  • Despite restrictions on entry and exit from Wuhan, about 5 million people left the agglomeration. This was stated by the mayor of the city.
  • In China, extended vacations for the Lunar New Year to reduce the number of travelers. Weekly vacation extended by three days. They were supposed to end on Thursday, but will last until Sunday. Many tourist attractions were closed, including Disney theme parks in Shanghai and Hong Kong, the Forbidden City and the Great Wall section in Beijing.
  • The second most important Chinese official visited Wuhan. Prime Minister Li Keqiang visited the epicenter of the epidemic. In a mask and a blue protective coat, he inspected the work of doctors and other services of the city. The visit took place amid growing criticism of the government by the population.


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